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AvaTrade - New Client Bonus. IC Markets - Free VPS Service. Global Prime - Free VPS Service. STO - Free VPS Service. FxOpen UK - Forex VPS Service. FxOpen AU - Free VPS Service. Orbex - Free VPS Service. FXCM UK - Factory Forex Trading APP. Industry Leading Affiliate System and Rates Our suite of powerful affiliate tools is available to every registered member to refer other traders up to 3 tiers deep and earn up to Build Your Referral Business. How much do I get paid? Webpage Code for Your Website. Forex Industry News, Aggregated. Add our tools factory your site. Show Forex Dictionary links. FX News Today European Outlook: Asian stock markets tried to move higher after the holidays, but Hang Seng and ASX are now slightly in the red, as is the CSIwhile the Nikkei outperforms and is posting a 0. The RBA left the cash rate unchanged, while highlighting the high level of debt in China as a medium term risk. The Eurozone also has Eurozone unemployment data for March and there is ECB speak from Noy and Nowotny. EURJPY and other yen crosses are also up quite sharply, reflecting general underperformance of the Japanese currency. EUR-PY clocked a seven-week high at The reflects rising global investor risk appetite, which has been weighting on the safe haven yen in accordance with the normal pattern. News that Greece reached a deal with the IMF and EU, along with a continued strong lead in French opinion polls for pro-EU presidential candidate Macron, have helped maintain a general risk-on vibe, though stock markets have been mixed in Asia today, while U. AUDUSD rallied to an eight-day high of 0. For construction, a 0. This accompanied a 0. An ISM drop to a 4-month low of The unemployment rate is seen to be unchanged at 5. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HotForex Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information aft is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission. Asian markets were thinned out by holidays with Japan, South Korea and Hong Kong closed, CSI and ASX are in negative territory ahead of the Fed announcement. No surprises are expected from the FOMC — not any change in rates nor any clear hint of the timing of the next move, but surveys suggest another rate hike in June. The DAX cleared the mark yesterday and was at new all-time highs. The European calendar has German unemployment data for April as forex as the first reading of Eurozone Q1 GDPa German year Bund sale and the U. Construction PMI for April. EURUSD eked out a three-session peak at 1. USDJPY has settled to an orbit of the Sterling has come under pressure heading into the London factory, with Cable have shed over 50 pips in making a 1. Market conditions have been thin aft far today, with Japan and Hong Kong out. A vote on the bi-partisan intermediate government funding bill is scheduled for tomorrow, while a vote on ACA repeal has yet to be set. Meanwhile stocks and yields are heading lower after soft initial auto sales figures for April. April ISM services may bounce to No change is widely expected. Bund futures headed south in after hour trade yesterday and yields spiked in the wake of the FOMC announcement, which saw the Fed reiterating plans for gradual rate hikes. Metals dragged markets down as iron ore futures tumbled amid inventory concerns. For sentiment, a FOMC left policy unchanged with a 0. For more of the guts of the statement, the Fed added that the labor market continue to strengthen, even as the economy slowed. Household spending rose only modestly but the fundamentals underpinning the continued growth of consumption remained solid. Business fixed investment firmed. Near term risks to the economic outlook remain in balance. The vote was a unanimous The outcome is as was expected. The door was left wide open for a tightening in June if the data tracks the expected Q2 rebound. EMU Q1 GDP growth came in at 0. There was no breakdown with the preliminary release but in any case, it is likely that the different timing of Easter this year has led to some distortions, as the services sector will have gotten a boost in April this year, rather than in March, while production will have been stronger without the holiday period in March this year compared to Hence it is widely expected to see the ECB removing its easing bias at the June meeting, when the updated set of staff forecasts are also due. The UK April construction PMI beat expectations in rising to a headline reading of Residential construction and civil engineering activity drove the uptick in expansion in the sector. Initial jobless claims may dip 10k to k for the week ended April 29, while March factory goods are expected to be at 0. Also, BoC Governor Poloz delivers a speech in Mexico City to the CanCham Mexico and Club de industrials. Asian stock markets headed south as oil dropped below USD 45 per barrel for the first time since November last year. Chinese equities meanwhile continued to decline amid ongoing efforts by regulators to curb leverage and speculation. Bund futureswhich sold off sharply yesterday, moved sideways in after hour trade and FTSE and U. The Q1 productivity figures revealed the expected 0. All the data support the narrative that the Q1 growth figures were depressed by seasonal weakness that will be sharply reversed in Q2 and Q3. The vote was It has been passed on to the president for his signature which will finalize the legislation the current CR expires Friday. The risk remains for a pull-back in jobs given the robust gains in total jobs that stretch back to August with only one interruption. The Ivey PMI for April is due today as well. FX News Today Global growth has become less of a worry, even though there are still plenty of challenges ahead. April jobs report supports the view that Q1 weakness forex transitory. And though Asia is more aft a question mark with some slowing in China and still weak consumption in Japan, the region looks to remain rather robust. There are a couple of aft indicators due out this week, including CPI and retail sales, though neither are likely to materially change the view that the weakness in Q1 was temporary. Some concessions were made into the weekend, but the offerings could prove difficult amid rising risk appetite. Earnings reports will remain a factor too, but the calendar is considerably lighter this week as the season dies down. Other data reports out this week include the April NFIB Small Business Optimism Index Tuesdaywhich has improved significantly since the Trump election. JOLTS job openings for March Tuesday will give the markets another angle on the labor market. Then trade prices Wednesday will provide another view on inflation parameters. The April Treasury budget Wednesday will give a more forex view on the important tax season inflows and outflows. PPI for April Thursday will highlight inflation developments from the producer side. The Canadian calendar has a limited amount of economic data and nothing from the Bank of Canada this week. Housing starts Monday are expected to moderate to a still elevated Building permit values Tuesday are projected to expand 5. The March new home price index Thursday is seen rising 0. With markets digesting the French election, German manufacturing orders for March Monday may attract less attention than usual at least if there is no major negative surprise in the wings. German industrial production Tuesday is expected to have corrected This should leave the Eurozone forex up 0. German trade data for March will complete the German Q1 cycle ahead of the preliminary GDP release Friday. After the robust Eurozone release, the German growth number is aft to come in at 0. The stellar set of April PMI surveys of last week showed that the UK economy remains resilient in the face of Brexit uncertainties. Data factory the April BRC retail sales report Tuesdaywhere expected to rise by 0. The late timing of Easter this year has messed with seasonal adjustments somewhat, so markets will be looking at the underlying three-month figure for better clarity. Industrial production data for March are also up Thursdaywhich expected to be improved to a Trade data will be released at the same time. In Japan, April consumer confidence Monday should slip back to Calendar has retail sales Tuesdayexpected to improve 0. Building approvals Monday are seen falling 4. ANZ job ads for April are also due Monday. There is nothing on the docket from the Reserve Bank of Australia this week. The Nikkei is little changed on the day and Chinese stocks fluctuated. Weak retail sales data from Australia weighed on forex and equity markets and investors are taking stock while waiting for a catalyst before making further headway. In Europe FTSE futures are moving higher, despite a stronger Pound ahead of the Aft meeting and as PM May is heading for a convincing victory in the June election. The DAX may have risen above for the first time ever last Friday, but is struggling to keep that level amid bouts of profit taking as the Macron rally peters out and the focus turns to ECB aft. Mersch yesterday all but confirmed that the ECB will change its forward guidance in June and tapering announcements are now being expected for September. And she believes the Fed has achieved its maximum employment goal. She would also like the Fed to start normalizing its balance sheet this year. March data brought the total for the first quarter of the year to EUR These are nominal numbers, that do not account for fluctuations in exchange rates and oil prices. And with import prices picking up that suggests real data will look somewhat better. Overall though net exports actually detracted from overall growth last year, and are still pretty subdued. The current account surplus widened in March, and rose 1. Also, we will see JOLTS job openings for March will give the markets another angle on the labor market. Looking back, the 2. The dove Kashkari will speak at a high-tech conference. Rosengren speaks at an NYU conference on risk management. Kaplan will speak at an interest rate summit. Asian stock markets moved higher, led by shares in Hong Kong, which rose to a 21 month high led by financials. Strong leads from the U. European yields moved higher yesterday as investors flocked into stocks, with the Bund still outperforming Gilts, as Eurozone markets price in tapering and rate steps amid strong growth indicators and receding political risks. The European data calendar has production data out of Italy and France as well as Norwegian inflation numbers and French trade. USDJPY settled back under The high caps an impressive winning streak, with the pair having climbed in every session bar three over the last three weeks as it lifted out of the EURUSD settled in the upper 1. The narrow USD index is down by 0. Now a Q1 GDP growth boost expected to 0. JOLTS showed March job openings rose 61k to 5,k from a downwardly revised 5,k was 5,k. But the job openings rate was steady at a solid 3. Hirings rebounded 11k to 5, also from a downward revision to 5,k was 5,k. The rate was flat at 3. Quitters, a favorite stat of Chair Yellen, increased 80k to 3,k from 3,k, with the rate holding at 2. It should be highly tapered, and part of the intent is to let mortgage rates rise. He also said the Fed is likely to hit zero rates again in future recessions. This would follow March data which had exports up 0. Oil prices rebounded in April after a dip in March which should help support the data. No change in the 1. Asian markets managed modest gains as higher oil prices underpinned energy producers and indices near multi-year highs. Mainland China underperformed once again amid official efforts to curb leverage. New Zeeland benchmarks meanwhile led the move higher after the central bank said it will keep rates at record lows for an extended period of time. Expectations are for a steady policy decision, leaving the minutes and the inflation report in focus. The calendar today also has U. He added that the forward guidance was meant to address tail risk and that some tail risks are less and less probable. The clearest sign yet from the ECB President that the easing bias will be scrapped in June and Bund futures are coming off intraday highs on the comments. The key issue then for June is whether the statement tweaks the guidance in a way that would allow to lift the deposit rate out of negative territory even before asset purchases have been phased out. Given recent comments that seems increasingly likely, although it may not yet be announced in June, as Draghi and Co will be eager to move very gradual on policy normalization amid concerns that it could put undue pressure on peripherals. RBNZ held rates steady at 1. The statement by Governor Wheeler was similar to March, which was similar to February. Measured optimism remains in place, but with a recognition of ongoing uncertainties. Notably, Wheeler said developments since the February Monetary Policy Statement on balance are considered to be neutral for the stance of monetary policy. But absent any downside surprises, the Bank should hold steady through year end. This will leave the focus on the minutes and the latest inflation report, which will likely feature the aft signs of accelerating economic activity after a relative soft patch in Q1, along with robust global growth. Unemployment Claims expected at K from K last week. Asian markets were mixed overnight. Shares in Japan declined from a month high amid a wealth of earnings reports forex. Electronics and auto makers were under pressure as the Yen held gains and markets are taking stock after the recent rally. The Nikkei is down For PPI, the expected big 0. Claims tightness signals upside risk for our k May payroll estimate, alongside upside aft from firm consumer, producer, and small business confidence, a solid k average monthly ADP rise thus far inand a likely vehicle sales and assembly bounce in Q2 that accompanies a GDP growth bounce to 3. As last time, one member voted for an immediate hike in Bank Rateand the updated Inflation Report noted that for some it would take relatively little further upside news on the prospects for activity or inflation to vote for a hike. Its growth forecast was trimmed to 1. At the same time the bank noted forex the centrals scenarios of the May inflation report suggest that monetary policy could need to be tightened by a somewhat greater extent over the forecast period than the very gently rising path implied by the market yield curve. Q1 GDP growth accelerated to 0. The stats office reported that both domestic and external demand underpinned the quarterly growth rate and highlighted in particular that investment growth strengthened. Consumption growth was modest meanwhile and net exports improved. The annual rate rose 2. German Apr HICP confirmed at 2. The acceleration from just 1. All in all, pretty much as expected and confirming that the German recovery remains on track. Weakness in energy prices was a major reason for the March declines and that should turn around for the April data. FX News Today It was a swing and a miss on U. Headline retail sales also undershot estimates, though upward revisions to February and March improved the complexion of that report. Despite the weakness in some of the recent U. Specifically, the economic calendar is a fairly limited this week with a smattering of housing, production, Philly Fed, claims and LEI data on tap. The Empire State index is forecast factory rebound Monday to 9. Housing starts should increase to a 1,k pace in April from 1, in March Tuesdaythough risk is downward as construction employment slips in May. Industrial production is expected to rise forex. MBA forex applications Wednesday will have to account for the swings in yields between the uptick in PPI and slump in CPI the week prior, while EIA energy inventories are on tap as well. Data rounds out Thursday with a rash release, including aft Philly Fed index seen slipping to Initial jobless claims may rebound 5k to k for the May 13 week and leading indicators are forecast to rise 0. In Canada, the end of the week brings March retail sales Friday and April CPI Friday. The lead up to those key releases is rather less exciting, with a choppy calendar that has March manufacturing Wednesday and April existing home sales Monday. Total CPI expected to rise 0. The CPI is expected to accelerate to a 1. Retail sales forex expected to bounce 1. The ex-autos aggregate is seen improving 0. Manufacturing shipments are projected to recover 1. The Bank of Canada is silent this week. Next week sees the rate announcement May 24which is expected to result in no change to the current 0. ECB speak from Draghi ThursdayConstancio, Praet and others will likely confirm this, but also stress once again that the Eurozone still needs substantial monetary support and the current QE schedule will be implemented as planned. The data highlight this week is German ZEW Investor Confidence Tuesdaywhich is seen increasing to Other data are mainly backward-looking. Eurozone Q1 GDP Tuesday is expected to be confirmed at 0. Meanwhile final April EMU HICP Wednesday should confirm the headline rate at 1. The data calendar also includes Eurozone current account and balance of payment numbers for March, as well as German producer price inflation for April. The calendar is highlighted by April inflation data Tuesdaylabor market figures covering March and April Wednesdayand the official retail sales report for April Thursday. CPI expected to spike to a new cycle high of 2. The BoE last week in its quarterly inflation report said that CPI should come back down to its 2. As for the labour data, the March ILO unemployment rate anticipated to remain unchanged at 4. The March tertiary industry index Tuesday should fall 0. March machine orders Wednesday are penciled in at up 5. Preliminary Q1 GDP Thursday should rise 1. The unemployment rate is projected at 5. The wage price index for Q1 Wednesday is projected to expand 0. That would leave the annual growth rate at 1. The measure peaked at a 4. There is nothing from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand this week. Last week saw the Bank hold rates steady at 1. A somewhat more balanced outlook was anticipated from the Bank. The DAX, which managed to close above could open slightly down, while Forex futures are moving higher, while U. Against that background core yields are moving higher and for now at least improved sentiment is keeping Eurozone spreads narrow, even if the ECB is heading for a change in the forward guidance. German ZEW investor confidence today is expected to have improved again and the calendar also includes inflation data from the U. The euro has continued to drift upwardwith EURUSD logging a nine-day high at 1. S inflation data has also been in the mix, denting appetite for long dollar positions. EURGBP is trading in three-week high terrain, while Cable has nestled slightly above 1. USDCAD has remained heavy following the strong rally in oil prices yesterday. The pair is presently in the low 1. The Empire State headline fell to a 7-month low of The ISM-adjusted Empire State fell to a 4-month low of Strength has been contained to the goods sector given restraint in payrolls, retail sales and GDP as the economy faces a weak global economy, a strong dollar, and a pattern of seasonal Q1 weakness. Philippe has been the mayor of Le Havre since and the two will need a majority or at least enough seats in parliament to form a coalition to push through his reform agenda. Forward looking indicators continue to underpin expectations for a broadening and strengthening of the recovery. Asian stock markets headed south after a mixed closed on Wall Street. Chinese stocks trading in Hong Kong as railway and construction companies were under pressure following an infrastructure summit. The Aft moved sideways at high levels amid bouts of profit taking but managed to close above Gilt futures recovered losses as safe haven demand picked up again and Bund futures, which closed marginally in the red moved higher in after hour trade, which against the pressure on stock markets points to early gains and a dip in yields. The European calendar has U. The dollar is trading softer against most currencies, particularly the yen with USDJPY dropping quite sharply, from levels above EURUSD rose to a fresh six-month high of 1. Concerns about the about the pro-Trump growth agenda have weighed on the dollar. First the Senate Majority Leader McConnell appeared to downplay aspects of the plans for revenue-neutral tax cuts, Dodd-Frank rollback, among other things, and later factory erupted about an alleged existence of a potentially Trump-damaging memo written by ex-FBI director Comey. This rattled Wall Street and led to a mostly negative session across equity bourses in Asia, which in turn let to yen outperformance as market participants sought safe havens. For factories, we saw a 1. For housing, we saw April drops of 2. The core CPI reading came at 2. PPI input prices unwound some, dipping to Cable has U-turned sharply lower, to a low so far of 1. The fact that the ECB has signaled a very gradual move towards policy normalization meanwhile is helping to keep Eurozone spreads in. Main Macro Events Today U. The Claimant Count Change expected to fall 7. The global sell off in equities continued overnight in Asia. Stronger than expected GDP numbers out of Japan failed to lift sentiment. European markets also closed firmly in the red yesterday, with Eurozone peripherals underperforming as risk aversion spiked higher. The FTSE managed to outperform, but also closed with a 0. The main equity indices in Asia fell, taking their cue from Wall Street amid concerns that the Trump growth agenda is in jeopardy. USDJPY losses extended for a second day. A three-week low was made at EURJPY reversed recent gains as the yen outperformed, dropping quite sharply to a low of The drop-in EURJPY reflects yen outperformance as the Japanese safe haven premium rises, while EURUSD logged a fresh six-month peak amid dollar outperformance. The high was at 1. UK unemployment dipped to a new year low of 4. Average incomes were less encouraging, but now below inflation, which in the latest numbers for April rose to 2. The BoE said in its quarterly inflation report last week that it expected wage growth to turn positive again, though on the proviso that the Brexit process goes smoothly. The annual rate bounced back in April, after falling to just 1. This also impacted core inflation, which rose to 1. Inflation is trending higher as growth strengthens, but less than April numbers suggest as wage growth remains moderate, despite the improving situation on the labour market. Wage moderation in Germany in particular seems puzzling given that the German jobless rate is at record lows and with that in mind the ECB is unlikely to do much more than remove the easing bias in June. Indeed, a stronger EUR and lower oil prices could in fact bring a downward revision to inflation projections with the updated forecasts next month. Markets were still mixed in Asia overnightwith Hang Seng and Nikkei posting slight gains, while CSI and ASX are slightly in the red. FTSE and U. Bund futures already started to come off highs during the PM and after hour session yesterday and with risk aversion unwinding Eurozone peripherals could outperform today and Eurozone spreads come in. ECB officials will be keeping a close eye on spreads and the impact of political uncertainty as comments from ECB officials show differing opinions on the speed with which the ECB should communicate the exit steps expected for next year. Data releases include German PPI numbers at the start of the session as well as Eurozone current account and BoP data and the U. CBI industrial trends survey for May, followed by EMU consumer confidence in the afternoon. Revealed a surprisingly tight k claims reading for the May BLS survey week and a hefty May Philly Fed surge to The employment components of the Philly Fed survey diverged around high levels, leaving upside risk from both this survey and the claims data for our k May nonfarm payroll estimate. The solid path for the monthly indicators into Q2, alongside room for an inventory updraft into the second half of after the big Q1 setback bodes well for GDPwhere we expect a growth bounce to 3. On taxes, Mnuchin repeated that the objective of tax reform is for a cut for middle income earners. Cable lost over pips as the USD recovered. The ex-autos sales aggregate is seen improving 0. Gasoline prices dipped 1. Total CPI is seen accelerating to a 1. The trimmed mean CPI slowed to a aft. The CPI common grew at a 1. The CPI median grew 1. Stuart Cowell Senior Market Analyst HotForex Disclaimer: Despite the fears that the political tumult since Brexit would be a major headwind to growth, recent data reveal an increasingly upbeat outlook, where the rise in optimism finally could be bearing fruit United States: Trading in the U. Despite political uncertainties, we have some US data out this week. The data calendar is light and none of the releases will be really crucial to the outlook. New home sales Tuesday are expected to drop 4. Sales have been up all year so far. April existing home sales Wednesday are projected to fall 0. Durable orders Friday are seen dropping 1. The final reading on May consumer confidence from the University of Michigan survey Friday is seen unchanged at Q1 GDP Friday is expected forex be revised down to a 0. No change in the 0. Wholesale shipments Tuesday are projected to improve 1. The manufacturing PMI seen at The German Ifo Business Climate, meanwhile is expected to nudge slightly higher to The calendar this week brings government borrowing for April Tuesdaythe May edition of the CBI distributive sales survey also Tuesdayand the second estimate of the Q1 GDP report. The headline realized sales reading of the CBI survey expected to dip to 32 from 44 in the previous month. The GDP data expected to come in unrevised at 0. In Japan, the March all-industry index Tuesday is factory at CPI figures Thursday should show national prices at a 0. May Tokyo CPI is expected to drop to a April services PPI Thursday are estimated rising at a 0. Reserve Bank of Australia Deputy Governor Debelle has a busy week. Debelle delivers opening remarks and participates in a panel at the Launch of the FX Global Code in London Thursday. Reserve Bank of New Zealand Governor Wheeler speaks in Hamilton Wednesday but the event is not public. Factory Site Full Width Site. Digital Family US Forex Brokers RebateKingFx. Company Information Contact Us Our Blog Facebook Twitter Website Guides and Rules Webmaster Tools. Forex, Futures, and Options trading has large potential rewards, but also large potential risks. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. You must be aware of the risks of investing in forex, futures, and options and be willing to accept them in order to aft in these markets. Forex trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Please do not trade with borrowed money or money you cannot afford to lose. This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy or Sell currencies, futures, or options. 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Please, provide us your e-mail so we can verify your account. Keep me signed in. Search Latest Posts Rules Forums. You are not authorized to post a reply. Show Forex Dictionary links Page 33 of HFblogNews Senior Member Like UnLike Posts.
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